Analyzing the Great Pacific Heat Engine -- Part 1

 Now that we are in a total tizzy of backlash against backlash, we can try to eke out some rationality.  We can do this in a vacuum.  Although there is no physics being measured, no Scientific Method, we also don't have waves of protesters saying "We don't need no stinkin' physics!".  In our coffee groups, where people are complaining about the cold, we can inject "Perhaps there was something wrong with the physics."  -- and not get slaughtered.

My sig other is quite mad at this cold.  When I said I had predicted this in my blog for a while, she said "Boo to your blog.  Boo to cold."  Everybody is in this state right now.

The Pacific Heat Engine is dead.  Alas poor Yorick.  (digression: -- (from the web)  And so, ‘Alas poor Yorick’ is the framing of some very important reflections on life, death, corruption, relationships and social rank in the play, Hamlet.)

We can comment on the futility of physics in looking at why our heat engine collapsed.  The pat religious answer is 'Climate Change', where a prediction of increased warmth, brought increased cold.  Or the agitated Polar Vortex Fairies, who hate humanity because of all that soda pop fizz in the air, tickling their noses.

Two physics principles dominated the former heat engine -- buoyancy and heat transfer.  Buoyancy is a great simplification of the real forces.  You throw a cork into the water and it floats.  Yet, we have to dissect it into the horrible parts that are required to model it with finite differences.  Just like computer game physics, if you go down to finite differences, and it looks good, you have something.  None of this tacking on a 'back fit' or the usual crap of our lost decades.

-- to be continued.

ps.  no, my brain hurts from summing all the forces.  I zoomed into it, and bounced out from the pain.  I'll leave it for someone else in 50 years.  

Like everything else, the Pacific Heat Engine collapses

 The backlash against the backlash against rationality continues.  That's an irrelevant point to highlight the collapse of the Pacific heat engine.

We always have some plumes sticking out.  These drift over and give us extra warmth, over that which is our due, due to stagnant solar heating.  If we just rely on stagnant heating, we are very cold indeed.  Without this mess of plumes, the temperatures stratify.  The bad thing about stagnant heating is that it all goes away in the first few hours of night.  Our night temperatures are our true 'ambient', and that is determined by ocean plumes.

All our storms have been cleared out by cold.

We have our usual incursion of warm Gulf air sneaking up the side of the mountains.  This will ensure another bout of storms.  We wake up to snow this morning.

I love to wake up to the smell of snow in April, smells like victory!  Not really.

Back to the backlash.  We have finished a wasted decade (or two) when the rise of Influencers wiped out all scientific progress, and the Scientific Method.  What did we get?  Lots of useless windmills and solar cells.  Computerization that anyone and their dog can wipe out.  All great stuff.  

The world always has great swings.  This is just a 30's swing against gatsby excess.  It never goes well.

ps omg!  I went out for the dog walk.  Apocalypse Now!  Full winter clothes, and I lasted 3 minutes walking into the snow and wind.  I'm still frozen.  This is the worst for all winter, but maybe I didn't go out for heavy winter storms....

State of the Oceans - April 7, 2025

 This is probably one of the last of these.  I fear they have stopped popping in Argo floats.  Anyway, this was prompted by warmies attempting to use geophysics.

As always, they use charts that have been never used before, and make up stories about them.  The Southern Ocean is the ocean surrounding Antarctica and is really cold.  None of these charts are showing it.  

No warming around Antarctica, and it doesn't affect our weather anyway.  You can see that the Pacific equatorial belt is cold.  It is spinning off very weak Pacific plumes.  Rain on the west coast is caused by these plumes hitting brutal Arctic air.

The Atlantic belt is cold, but pushing water straight up into the North Atlantic.  This is causing the massive weed problem that spoiled my fishing.

The Pacific currents are disorganized, and I have no idea what it means exactly.  There is a weird mechanism here that concentrates the current energy on the belt, due to the Earth's spin.

The North Atlantic is poking up a bit from the current flow, but the Atlantic belt is going down.

A perfect example of heat energy transfer.

The chart that the warmies once loved to use is heading down.

And the Nino zone is no longer being influenced by the S. Hemi summer.  I suppose that wasn't great, but who cares?

I've been looking for heat energy, but not finding it.  I want to plant my garden!  Right now, it's going to get covered with snow.  I predicted snow in April, but I don't really want it.  Snow in May looks likely.

We are in the Dark Ages again.  No Scientific Method anywhere.  

ps once again I raise the northern temperature drift, vs Antarctica.

No drift for the S. Pole.  This is not 'global' at all.  I suspect that urbanization has some role in this.